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Additional info for Agriculture in Tanzania Since 1986: Follower or Leader of Growth? (World Bank Country Study)

Sample text

There is a three year lag between changes in coffee price and coffee output, reflecting the lag between new tree plantings and the first harvest. The fertilizer price does not have a statistically significant effect for any of the five commodities, either because fertilizer use is determined by other factors (such as availability of credit) or because fertilizer is too low for price changes to make a difference. 3 Poverty, Food Security, and Nutrition POVERTY AND AGRICULTURE. Progress in improving poverty, food security, and malnutrition in Tanzania is highly dependent on the performance of the agricultural sector for two reasons.

Livestock products may offer one of the best long run potentials in terms of widespread applicability. In any case, the same policy environment useful for promoting Page xviii traditional exports will also be beneficial for promoting non-traditional exports, and it is not necessary to distinguish them at this point. INTER-SECTORAL LINKAGES. We find that export agriculture has major growth linkages with the non-farm sector. Backward linkages are negligible because most inputs are imported, and forward linkages are modest because processing is modest.

Limited demand prevents them from expanding any more rapidly. 8 percent per year over the late 1980s. 7 percent per year. Strong growth in cashew nuts and tobacco have offset declines in coffee. PERFORMANCE OF LIVESTOCK AND FISHERIES. Performance in the important beef cattle sector has been mixed. This is hardly surprising given the long-term fall in domestic and world prices, the rising cost and lower access to veterinary and other livestock services over time, and high and arbitrary levels of local and central taxation.

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